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May 2008

May 26, 2008

Counting cards in 21

Seth uses a blackjack gambling metaphor to make a point about marketing, but is slightly off about counting cards in 21:
There are two ways to get ahead. You can work the system or you can beat the system.
Beating the system usually involves some sort of subterfuge. Once everyone knows how you beat the system, the system adjusts and changes the rules, making it difficult for you to repeat the feat again. When card counters beat the system in Las Vegas, they weren't breaking the rules, but the system didn't care. They just increased the number of decks in use so it would be more difficult and less lucrative.
Common misconception.

Actually, increasing the number of decks in the shoe makes winning easier for the counter. It's how often the shoe (decks) are shuffled that makes it more difficult to count. And, a two-deck shoe will more be shuffled more often. This point was made in the audiobook I listened to recently, "21: Bringing Down the House: The Inside Story of Six M.I.T. Students Who Took Vegas for Millions."

First you have to learn what card counting is all about (scroll down to Lesson #2). This lesson is taught by Jeff Ma, the person who led the MIT team in the casinos and was fictionally portrayed in the book mentioned above, which was subsequently made into a movie that conveniently omitted any explanation of this technique. (Was this a deal made with the casinos so that they could film on location?)

The way card counting works in 21 is that you gain a very slight advantage if you know the count is strongly positive, let's say, +16, which means more high-value, picture cards are bound to follow. This gives the advantage to the player. You've been betting the minimum all along, now you increase your bet to take advantage of the better odds. This is a tipoff to the casino that you're counting cards, btw. Then you use Basic Strategy to play your hand. There's also a formula for determining how much you should bet, which you can also find on Jeff's Web site mentioned above.

This is why you need team play. You need people at several tables playing, and then when anyone finds the count to be strongly positive, they give the team leader a hand signal, and he swoops in as a high roller so the counter doesn't get detected.

Disclaimer: I've never been in a casino, but I have very eclectic reading tastes.

May 12, 2008

BlackBerry Bold

Sascha Segan of PC Magazine has a good hands-on review. Its screen certainly doesn't rival the iPhone (soon to be 3G also?), but for texting, this is *the* device.


Blackberry_bold

UPDATE: RIM and Thomson Reuters are creating a venture capital firm called the BlackBerry Partners Fund. They have earmarked $150 million for mobile applications and services for mobile platforms.

I'm sure Fred will have something to say about this.

May 11, 2008

Sister in Missouri safe from tornado

Last night when I saw the news about the deaths due to the tornado the hit hardest in Seneca, Missouri, I had to call my sister Camille, who lives in Ozark 70 miles east, to check to see if see was all right.

Seneca_missouri

(Seneca is at the B marker, Ozark at A)

She tells me that her house doesn't have a storm basement like most of the houses in her region because of the limestone underneath. She does have a weather radio that provides an alarm if a dangerous storm is approaching.

MSNBC is reporting that 18 were killed in Missouri and Oklahoma, and one in Georgia due to tornadoes.

I received a similar call from my sister right after 9/11.


May 10, 2008

Another Disqus test

Work!

UPDATE: It is now working. See my comment if you're a TypePad user about to convert.

This is a test of Disqus

I'll be amazed if this really works...

May 07, 2008

Passphotoprint.com: quick way to DIY passport photos

Passport_photos

Guess which photo costs $14 and which 31 cents?

I had the polaroid picture in the lower right taken at a Kinko's in Manhattan for $14. (The retake was even worse.)

Then, I found out about Passphotoprint.com. This Web site takes your 2x2 inch digital photo and gangs it up on a 4x6 inch print. I took a 15-minute walk to the nearest RiteAid drugstore, inserted the SD card into their Kodak printing machine, and they produced an excellent 4x6 print in minutes for 31 cents.

To take the photo I set my Nikon point & shoot S10 on a pile of books. I was facing the window in my bedroom and used the self timer and fill flash. I had a piece of white foamcore laying around that I propped up behind me for the background. I kept taking photos till I felt I got an acceptable shot.

They guy at Kinko's was discussing when he should take his break with his supervisor when he did my photo. That polaroid doesn't even meet the specs for a passport photo.

NIN: The Slip

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